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The Bailout's Been Passed...What's Next?

0 Well, for one thing, a healthy dose of skepticism is what's next. Will it work--will we see a sufficient loosening of the credit markets? Many aren't so sure.

The Washington Post points out that where some have seen cause for confidence and hope in several recent consolidations as well as Warren Buffett's massive investments in Goldman Sachs and General Electric, others see an exposure of the dire situation: "One of America's premier companies couldn't roll over commercial paper without selling a big chunk of equity," said Peter R. Fisher, a former Treasury Undersecretary. "That means the cost of short-term borrowing for every company in America went way up."

In the wake of the bailout's becoming law last Friday, the National Federation of Independent Business, which had been a staunch supporter of the bailout on the grounds that it was "not about Wall Street, but a firewall for Main Street," unsurprisingly praised its passage: “Small business owners, whether or not they use credit to run or expand their own businesses, know that access to credit and a fully functioning financial market are important to them and to their customers, suppliers and vendors," the group said.

On the other hand, there was nothing in the bailout about some of small business's largest, and most fixable, concerns, such as those concerning government contracting, which we covered here.

Certainly talk of commercial paper and TED spreads (here's a good glossary), crucial indicators for where the credit markets are, are going to become common parlance over the coming weeks and months as everyone watches eagerly to see whether the bailout does what it was intended to: enable Americans, from the biggest corporations to individuals and, in between them, small businesses, borrow money more easily again.

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Comments (4)

This bailout is just one more example of the indivisible handjob stroking irresponsible CEOs and CFOs with billions so that they can run the American economy even further into the ground. So much for Keynesian economics. If the goal is to stimulate the economy, why not give the money directly to the American taxpayer? A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush administration.

I posted on my blog that for the bailout to work, Treasury MUST require that a percentage of the monies received by banks for their toxic assets must be lent out within 6 to 9 months. That will ensure the money makes it out to mainstreet and the banks don't defeat the purpose of the bill by hoarding the cash.

regarding Buffet, I would be more confident in his buys as being a bottom if he didn't demand senior preferred but rather the common stock.

Also, will we see bill gates make similar investments?

My post on unfreezing credit markets with the lending requirement is up on my blog now. IrishLightning.com

thanks

Jody:

Just when it all gets too depressing:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uZUXXSxZPhw
A really funny song about the bailout.

Ryan:

The bailout was the wrong thing to pass. It's time to do something right.

Please support this proposal and get your Congressional representative to sponsor this solution to our current monetary crisis.

A complete list from the Detailed Executive Summaries of the National Economic Stabilization and Recovery Act:
http://nesara.org/bill/index.htm


Immediate Relief and Results

# Eliminates more than $1 trillion of the nation’s public debt
# Reduces future private debt by more than $1 trillion
# Immediately eliminates some private debt, especially for many homeowners

# Workers maintain better control of their earnings
# Production is no longer taxed, just consumption
# Most of the necessities of life are not taxed

# Encourages production thus revitalizing industry in America
# Encourages rebuilding of inner cities
# Discourages wasteful uses of natural resources

# Exposes the true cost of government
# Greatly eliminates the struggle between tax “protesters” and bureaucracy
# Allows the “underground” to resurface and become a viable contribution to production of goods and services
# Greatly restricts the influence of special interests and lobbyists


The Federal Reserve System

# The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 is amended
# The Federal Reserve System is abolished and replaced by a new Treasury Reserve System
# Control of the currency is moved from private control of the Fed to public control of Congress and the new Treasury Reserve System

# Congress sets the standards for the new monetary system but the people create as much or as little currency as they need
# Functions of the Federal Open Market Committee are transferred to the Board of Governors of the new Treasury Reserve System
# A new mechanism, the Treasury Reserve Account, is created to provide the Treasury Reserve System Board of Governors a better method to fine-tune the money supply, effectively eliminating inflation

# The Treasury Reserve System Board of Governors will continue using the previous three mechanisms for controlling the money supply: 1. Setting reserve requirements. 2. Setting the national discount rate. 3. Purchasing U.S. Treasury securities on the open market.
# All U.S. Treasury securities purchased by the Treasury Reserve System Board of Governors will be immediately turned over to the U.S. Treasury and cancelled out of existence.


Monetary Policy
# People are provided with several alternatives for currency
# Constitutional currency is restored
# Currency becomes debt free as the people stop paying interest payments for their use of a public utility

# Unlike previous policy, the new Treasury Reserve Board is provided one very specific mandate: maintain a stable currency
# Expansion of the economy is returned to the free market
# Private coinage is encouraged

# Exchange ratios for the various currencies are published at least weekly
# Printing of redeemable gold and silver certificates is allowed
# Postal money orders are made available in denominations of gold and silver coin


Banking

# Returns the banking industry to serving public interests
# For secured loans, compound interest is outlawed and replaced with a monetization fee
# Provides stricter banking controls by imposing excise taxes to discourage high or runaway monetization fees

# On secured loans obtained from a fractional reserve bank, principal must be paid in full before the bank begins collecting its monetization fee
# Eliminates the facade for banking insurance (FDIC)
# Except for fraud and criminal activities, virtually eliminates bank failures

# Banks are prohibited from using as reserves any commercial paper
# Only Treasury credit-notes can be used as bank reserves
# Banks are prohibited from purchasing government issued debt, effectively removing banks from influencing monetary policy

# Checking accounts against gold and silver deposits are prohibited
# Commingling of funds among the various money accounts without owner’s permission is prohibited
# All currency deposits with banks are general warrant deposits and custody accounts.


The Income Tax

# The Income Tax Act of 1939 is amended
# People need no longer fear the IRS
# Billions of hours of nonproductive labor are eliminated

# Mounds of paper work are eliminated
# The cost of the income tax is no longer hidden and embedded in the cost of doing business and passed down the chain with the consumer paying the final tab
# Most likely eliminates state income tax plans because state income taxation piggybacks on federal income taxation

# The IRS is reformed into the National Tax Service
# Volumes of complicated tax code are history
# Eliminates personal income taxes

# Eliminates corporate income taxes
# Eliminates gift taxes and estate taxes
# Eliminates capital gains taxes


Sales and Use Tax

# Tax rate of 14%
# Government entities are exempt
# Government mandated expenses such as licenses, permits, passports, are exempt

# Sales of bullion, coin and currency are exempt
# Sales made by or to nonprofit schools are exempt
# Sales of prescription drugs, medical supplies and services are exempt

# Real estate rents and leases are exempt
# Sales of groceries are exempt
# Sales of plants, livestock and fish used in the production of food for human consumption are exempt

# Insurance sales are exempt
# Segregated portions of labor in retail service contracts are exempt
# Incidental or occasional sales such as garage or rummage sales are exempt

# Sales for the purposes of recycling are exempt
# Meals provided by companies at company expense are exempt
# Sales that are nonprofit in nature are exempt

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